Well, I would say that this week’s Friday Forecast competition is a race with one heavily-backed favourite. I can’t see any way in which Aaro doesn’t respond to the Matthew Parris column, surely? Other possibilities would of course be de Menezes (particularly as this now offers a wonderful opportunity to “reach out to the left”) and the Gaza withdrawals, but MP has got to be the bookie’s choice.
For Cohen it’s a more difficult call. An anonymous commenter has posted “Can I have and advance bet on ‘From BNP to MCB, one letter at a time’ for next weekend? ” in a thread below; maybe he’s a ringer with the inside track? I don’t think that Cohen’s New Statesman piece from this week is recyclable for the Observer so no clues there either.
The often useful “Harry’s Place” forecast isn’t really giving much of a steer this week but if anything points to the topic of “The Iraqi Resistance: Bastards”. So I’m going to take a flyer and say:
Cohen (Sunday): The death of Stephen Vincent, Talibanisation of Basra and how the liberal left isn’t doing enough about it.
Aaro (Tuesday): “I am as frightened by the way things are going in Iraq as I am by the shootings in London. But we can do nothing other than trust the police and the government”.
Cohen (Tuesday): A Levels are getting too easy these days, guv.
Faites vos jeux, as always, in the comments thread below. Anyone is entitled to bet on all, some or none of the three Watch categories; winner to be decided on Tuesday on the basis of accuracy and specificity.
Update: On the other hand … “A senior columnist from The Times Newspaper UK, Mr. David Morris Aaronovitch, was recently in the Sultanate for a short visit to feature Brunei and the Empire Hotel & Country Club in The Times newspaper”. “Brunei, a successful Islamic state and a model for us all??????”. Junketastic.
Second update: going by the Harry’s Place indicator would indicate that late betting might be going on some reference to WHSmith’s policy of selling Playboy branded pencil cases. I really don’t think this is likely and won’t be altering my own forecast at all, but if Aaro or Cohen so much as mention it then it will be a brave man who bets against Harry’s Place in future weeks.